Форсайт-портал СФУ (Сибирский федеральный университет)

Scenario of the Future of the Sakha (Yakutia) Republic. Foresight Research
Evgeniya Mikhailova, Valerii Efimov, Alla Lapteva
Siberian Federal University, North-Eastern Federal University
E-mail: expert.sfu@gmail.com

Keywords: future study, foresight, the Sakha (Yakutia) Republic, scenarios of the future, preservation of the indigenous peoples’ identity, languages and cultures.

Abstract: The results of Foresight research, and namely presenting scenarios of the future of the Sakha (Yakutia) Republic, its indigenous peoples, are introduced. Both envisaging further development and realistic images of the republic’s future, suggested by the experts, are discussed. A field of scenarios of the future of the Sakha (Yakutia) Republic till 2050 is presented, scenario conditions and factors being viewed. A baseline scenario of the formation of multi-structure economies and society, blending traditional, developed industrial and post-industrial (cognitive) structures, is described. Within the frame of a baseline scenario reproduction of the republic’s indigenous peoples’ identity, culture and languages will be provided by special cultural policy, cultural and educational practices. Scenarios which are alternative to a baseline one are elaborated. These are “corporate colonization”, “demographic and cultural dissipation”, “temptation of a consumption society”, “cultural break-through”. The opportunities of “discovering the North” (analogous to the “discovery of the east” in the XX century) for the whole mankind are discussed. The conditions for this might be the following ones: accumulation of the indigenous peoples’ cultural heritage on the basis of use of modern informational technologies; consolidation of northern peoples and shifting their culture from the level of local ethnic cultures to the level of “northern civilization” of a special type. The North-Eastern Federal University should play its special role of a strategic subject, organizing the development and implementation of new cultural, educational, medical practices, necessary cultural policy.

Published: Journal of Siberian Federal University

Scenario of the Future of the Sakha (Yakutia) Republic. Foresight Research. E. Mikhailova, V. Efimov, A. Lapteva / Journal of Siberian Federal University. Humanities & Social Sciences 9 (2014 7)